Students Suspended Out of School in Ninth Grade Face Greater Risk of Juvenile Justice Involvement

Posted May 17, 2026
By the Annie E. Casey Foundation
Teenage student wearing glasses smiles toward the camera while seated in a classroom with other students working in the background.

Out-of-school sus­pen­sion can sig­nif­i­cant­ly increase the chances that young peo­ple become involved in the juve­nile jus­tice sys­tem, accord­ing to new research fund­ed by the Annie E. Casey Foundation.

Accord­ing to School Dis­ci­pline, Juve­nile Jus­tice Sys­tem Involve­ment, and Aca­d­e­m­ic Attain­ment: Insights from Mass­a­chu­setts High School Stu­dents, among high school stu­dents fac­ing the high­est risk of court involve­ment, a sin­gle out-of-school sus­pen­sion raised the like­li­hood of court involve­ment from 31% to 49%. Repeat­ed sus­pen­sions fur­ther increased that risk. 

These find­ings apply to stu­dents iden­ti­fied as more like­ly to expe­ri­ence jus­tice sys­tem involve­ment based on fac­tors such as race and eth­nic­i­ty, gen­der, eco­nom­ic hard­ship, fre­quent school trans­fers and low atten­dance. They may not reflect out­comes for all students.

For pol­i­cy­mak­ers shap­ing school dis­ci­pline and court refer­ral prac­tices, the take­away is clear: For stu­dents fac­ing the great­est bar­ri­ers, dif­fer­ent forms of dis­ci­pline can lead to very dif­fer­ent outcomes.

Ninth Grade Is a Crit­i­cal Turn­ing Point

The risks are espe­cial­ly pro­nounced in ninth grade.

Stu­dents sus­pend­ed dur­ing their first year of high school had a 59% like­li­hood of jus­tice sys­tem involve­ment. That fig­ure rose to 64% for those sus­pend­ed for five days or more.

This find­ing high­lights the impor­tance of ear­ly high school expe­ri­ences and the poten­tial long-term con­se­quences of remov­ing stu­dents from the class­room dur­ing this piv­otal tran­si­tion year.

Per­sis­tent Inequities in School Discipline

In Mass­a­chu­setts and across the coun­try, dis­par­i­ties in school dis­ci­pline remain widespread.

Stu­dents who are male, Black or from com­mu­ni­ties with few­er eco­nom­ic resources are more like­ly to be sus­pend­ed or expelled. These pat­terns reflect broad­er inequities in how schools respond to stu­dent behavior.

Black stu­dents are still dis­pro­por­tion­ate­ly affect­ed by in-school sus­pen­sion, high­light­ing per­sis­tent racial dis­par­i­ties in school dis­ci­pline,” said Isman­uela Denis, a pro­gram asso­ciate at the Casey Foundation.

In-School Sus­pen­sion Shows a Dif­fer­ent Pattern

The Mass­a­chu­setts study exam­ined both out-of-school and in-school sus­pen­sions. While out-of-school sus­pen­sions were linked to a sub­stan­tial increase in jus­tice sys­tem involve­ment, in-school sus­pen­sions were not.

Researchers found no sta­tis­ti­cal­ly sig­nif­i­cant rela­tion­ship between in-school sus­pen­sion and lat­er sys­tem involve­ment — includ­ing among ninth graders. This pat­tern also held for old­er students.

These find­ings do not sug­gest that in-school sus­pen­sion is with­out harm. Instead, they point to impor­tant dif­fer­ences in how var­i­ous dis­ci­pli­nary approach­es affect young people’s trajectories.

Expand­ing Alter­na­tives to Out-of-School Suspension

Keep­ing young peo­ple con­nect­ed to school while address­ing their behav­ioral chal­lenges can be crit­i­cal to curb­ing the so-called school-to-prison pipeline,” Denis said, par­tic­u­lar­ly for stu­dents more like­ly to expe­ri­ence jus­tice sys­tem involvement.”

Schools across the coun­try are using approach­es that keep stu­dents in school while main­tain­ing safe learn­ing envi­ron­ments for all. These include:

What School Sys­tems and States Can Do

The find­ings high­light the impor­tance of bet­ter data shar­ing between schools and juve­nile jus­tice agencies.

Stu­dent-lev­el data con­nect­ing out-of-school sus­pen­sions to jus­tice sys­tem involve­ment is essen­tial,” Denis said. It helps school lead­ers under­stand how exclu­sion­ary dis­ci­pline poli­cies can increase the like­li­hood of sys­tem contact.”

Lead researcher Ali­cia Lynch empha­sized the impor­tance of local context.

Every state and com­mu­ni­ty has its own poli­cies, prac­tices and pat­terns,” Lynch said. With­out local, stu­dent-lev­el data, those pat­terns can remain hid­den or mis­un­der­stood. By con­duct­ing sim­i­lar analy­ses, com­mu­ni­ties can move beyond assump­tions and design more effec­tive strate­gies to keep young peo­ple on pos­i­tive pathways.”

About the Study

This study is the first statewide effort in Mass­a­chu­setts to link edu­ca­tion and juve­nile jus­tice data to bet­ter under­stand how school dis­ci­pline relates to sys­tem involve­ment and aca­d­e­m­ic outcomes.

Researchers ana­lyzed stu­dent-lev­el data from the Mass­a­chu­setts Depart­ment of Ele­men­tary and Sec­ondary Edu­ca­tion and the Depart­ment of Youth Ser­vices. The analy­sis focused on high school stu­dents whose expe­ri­ences — includ­ing demo­graph­ic fac­tors, school mobil­i­ty and atten­dance — made them more like­ly to encounter the juve­nile jus­tice sys­tem. The final sam­ple includ­ed stu­dents in the 20162020 grad­u­a­tion cohorts.

North­east­ern University’s Bou­vé Col­lege of Health Sci­ences con­duct­ed the study in col­lab­o­ra­tion with Lynch Research Asso­ciates, the Mass­a­chu­setts Depart­ment of Ele­men­tary and Sec­ondary Edu­ca­tion, the Depart­ment of Youth Ser­vices and the Mass­a­chu­setts Juve­nile Deten­tion Alter­na­tives Initiative.

Down­load the report